Views
From IIPPE
Jump to: navigation, search
Back to Conference Home | Full List of Conference Papers




Four panels are prepared for discussing the causes, interpretations, and prospects of the (current) crisis. Since it is Marxist political economy that has from its inception explored various aspects of the crisis most intensively and extensively, it is inevitable to some extent that Marxist perspectives prevail over the whole panel stream, but ideas from other heterodox traditions do have a strong presence. For instance, whilst various Marxist perspectives are seen to be competing one another in the second panel, the possibilities of how they can be nourished, or corrected, by the insights derived from the classical approaches are to be examined in the third panel. It is also true of the first panel. In the last panel, on the other hand, various prospects on the post-crisis world are to be dealt with in terms of how capital is organised, how profit is made, how economic policies put forward, and how the role of the state is conceived and deployed vis-à-vis capital.

Contents

Interpretations of the Crisis (1): Marxist Perspectives

AUTHOR(s)TITLE & ABSTRACT
Spyros Lapatsioras, Dimitris P. Sotiropoulos and John Milios Marxist Theory, Financial System and Crisis of 2008
Returning to Marx’s analysis in the third volume of Capital we shall endeavor to outline a Marxist interpretation of contemporary capitalism, contemporary financialization and the crisis of 2008. Crucial in this connection are the concept of fictitious capital and the associated with it process of capitalization. Financialization should be conceived as a type of organization and a mode of exercising capitalist power, which consists of a whole set of instruments, techniques, levels of application and targets. In this way, financialization as a generalization of these processes into a complex system comprises a decisive link for the enforcement of the capital domination. This means that our study does not concentrate merely on the ‘productive’ or ‘unproductive’ effects that financialization might have on ‘development’ or ‘consumption’, but on a whole series of other possible and crucial effects which seem marginal at first sight. As a consequence, we regard finance as a complex social function that cannot be isolated from ‘real’ economy.

Accordingly, such argumentation, based, of course, on Marxian concepts, provides the terms to rethink contemporary neoliberal form of capitalism and modern crisis as expressions of the contradictions inherent in this organization of capital hegemony, and contemporary form of imperialism, as well. Our analysis also comes up with some conclusions concerning the discussions within Marxism on whether derivatives are commodities or money (or even some other representation of capitalist wealth) and how should we comprehend the global crisis of 2008 in the light Marxian argumentation.

Click here to read the final paper
Sergio Cámara Izquierdo and Abelardo Mariña Flores Characterization and Perspectives of the Current Crisis. A Marxist Structural Approach
The paper characterizes the current crisis and discusses the perspectives of the world economy from an immediate and structural standpoint. Firstly, the analysis of the structural tendencies of profitability and accumulation after the overaccumulation crisis of the 1970s reveals that this is a crisis of the neoliberal restructuring processes, characterized by a return of the financial hegemony. The contradictory nature of neoliberalism was first manifested in the 2000-1 crisis, and showed more violently in the current one. Secondly, the immediate development of the crisis is described. The current cyclical recession in the United States is characterized by the bursting of the housing bubble, and the global financial crisis. Lastly, the perspectives for the world economy are addressed. From a structural viewpoint, it is contended that profitability and accumulation conditions in central capitalist countries do not hold for a long wave upswing; a massive devaluation of capital is a prerequisite of rapid accumulation, beyond the demise of financial hegemony. Despite the emergence of new poles of accumulation, leaded by China, the world economy faces a long period of slow growth and macroeconomic instability inasmuch as the contended hegemony of the United States economy, still the largest and most powerful, and the dollar, still the world money, is not being substituted, yet, by a new hegemonic center.
Click here to view the full paper
John Milios and Dimitris P. Sotiropoulos Marxist Approaches to Economic Crises
In the work of Marx, a general theory of economic crises cannot be found, at least in a developed form. This fact contributed to the formulation of different and generally contradicting Marxist crisis theories. Three such theories: the underconsumptionist approach, the theory of capital overaccumulation and the approach of the tendentially falling profit rate, (all of which were formulated by Marxist theorists shortly after the death of Marx and Engels) constitute different interpretations of the theoretical categories of Marx's Critique of the Political Economy. Many Marxists still consider them to be indispensable theoretical tools for the understanding of the mechanism of capitalist economic crises.

The underconsuptionist approach, which was dominant among Marxists in the 1890s was fiercly criticized by the Russian “legal Marxist” Tugan-Baranowsky (T-B) on the basis of Marx’s reproduction schemes in Vol. II of Capital. T-B's theoretical intervention created a new “orthodoxy” among Marxists during the first decades of the 20th century. However, he incorporated in his analysis the “absolute immiseration thesis,” and claimed that “proportionality” between production sectors would exclude any possibility of crisis, despite the supposedly continuous fall in mass consumption. This approach allows for a Keynesian interpretation of Marx’s theory of expanded reproduction of social capital, according to which a constantly increasing investment demand may always compensate for the lacking demand for consumer goods.

The notion of capital overaccumulation is considered in this paper as the key element of Marx’s crisis theory. The paper concludes that economic crises shall be identified neither with the law of the tendential fall in the profit rate, nor with some supposedly intrinsic underconsuption of the labouring classes. Instead, crises shall be comprehended as the outcome of the fusion of a variety of factors which suppress the rate of profit. An economic crisis can be described, therefore, as a conjunctural overaccumulation, i.e. a conjunctural production of commodities (means of production and means of consumption) in such quantities and prices, that they temporarily hinder the process of capital expanded reproduction. In the last instance, all categories of factors affecting the value composition of capital and the profit rate are overdetermined by classstruggle, the main object of which is the (level of) exploitation of the labour force.

Click here to read the full paper


Interpretations of the Crisis (2): Insights from the Classical

AUTHOR(s)TITLE & ABSTRACT
Cédric Durand and Philippe Légé Over-accumulation and Rising Costs : The Contemporary Relevance of the Classical Stationary State Issue
In this paper we propose to explore the relevance of the classical stationary state issue throughout the heterodox (Marxist, Post-Keynesian, Regulationist...) interpretations of the current crisis. The first section will present some stylized facts assessing the rising costs of accumulation and indications of over-accumulation at a global scale. The second section will discuss the rise of global competition pointed out by Brenner and Crotty as a cause of over-accumulation tendencies; we will suggest a 'Smithian' interpretation of this mechanism because of various blockades to the countertendencies indicated by Marx and Ricardo. The third section will discuss the various phenomenons at the root of the rising costs of accumulation, focusing mainly on developed economies. The fourth section will assess the dynamics of the various countertendencies which can give accumulation new momentum. In conclusion we will sum up our arguments and insist on the relevance of this classical theme for critical analysis of the current trajectory of capitalism.
Tiago Camarinha Lopes Crisis and Say’s Law: Perspectives of Marx and Keynes
Despite the fact that the subject “crisis” is central in the study of the capitalist mode of production, most economists are very unfamiliar with the issue. Orthodox economics seem to systematically exclude the study of this phenomenon, up to the point when the discrepancy between model and reality becomes explicit in moments of general panic. This paper argues that it is the general use of models based on the validity of Say’s Law which impedes economists of addressing the matter adequately. Accepting the Law in theory disables the consideration and study of capitalist crisis. Therefore, when it occurs in practice, the media is loaded with questions and incongruous explanations, showing that the theoretical economic model mostly adopted does not fit capitalist reality. Marx and Keynes, trespassing the limits of orthodoxy, initiated the formulation of the theory of capitalist crisis and refused Say’s Law, each on his way.
[Paper forthcoming in a revised form in special issue of the International Journal of Management Philosophy and Concepts 2011 vol. 5(3)]
Robert Jones The Global Financial Crisis: Making Sense of the Connections in Political Economy
This paper describes the use of the author’s website at http://www.politicaleconomy.org.uk to explore the connections that can be made between areas of analysis and discourse in political economy. The initial development of this website was made possible by a grant from the Economics Network of the (UK) Higher Education Academy, for a Learning and Teaching Development Project for 2008/9.

The Connections in Political Economy website is based on the idea of the 'concept map', providing a visual depiction of the links that might be followed from one topic of research and area of literature to another. It consists of a set of hyperlinked pages assigned to particular topics and issues. Each page contains annotated 'reading lists' and links to a variety of sources of information of varying degrees of depth of analysis. These range from seminal texts to contemporary media comment and debate. The “connections project” is necessarily an ongoing venture which will benefit from the widest collaboration.

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the use of this website to explore the connections in the political economy literature which are relevant to the Global Financial Crisis. The crisis has had enormous distributional implications, including the increased need felt by particular groups to defend their relative positions and to attach blame to other parties. The believed certainties, optimism and apparent cooperation of the so-called ‘Great Moderation’ leading up to the crisis, at least within the developed world, have now been replaced by widespread realisation of the fundamental uncertainties of the market, together with a need to attach blame. Such rivalries can be seen between groups within national economies, between nations (eg within Europe) and between groups of nations.

The issues raised by the crisis are wide and varied. Some are related to particular institutional developments that have only recent historical specificity, such as the fallout from the US sub-prime crisis, its implications via collateralisation and the particular details of the bank bailouts. Other analyses have focused on developments which have a longer timeframe. These include the growth of financialisation since the 1980s, the instabilities arising from the particular role of the US dollar, and the related emergence of global imbalances since the turn of the century. Alongside these developments, significant ideological changes have taken place within mainstream academic economics over the last 30 years, which have been seen to provide an underpinning for unrealistic claims about market efficiency. The influence of market fundamentalism, and the exclusion of heterodox ideas and the history of economic thought from academic curricula, have been acknowledged to have contributed to the crisis.

The crisis has indicated the relevance of fundamental concepts which transcend the details of the current historical events. These include the roles played by rent extraction, political patronage and capture, mercantilism, and the fundamental uncertainties associated with ‘free’, unregulated markets, to name just a few. Such ‘timeless’ concepts have their origins in other periods of economic and social upheaval and in the writings of the ‘worldly philosophers’ of earlier times.

Click here to read the full paper


Ways Ahead: From the Crisis to Reorganisation of the Capitalist Economy?

AUTHOR(s)TITLE & ABSTRACT
Özlem Arzu Azer Walking on the Way of a New World through Caos
This work seeks the transformation of the world economic system as a result of the global crisis starting by sub-prime mortgage crisis in USA. What did this global crisis teach to the world about the mechanism of markets? Has the perfect competition been as the main principle of ‘free market’ just an utopia which will never realize? Can it be sait that this global crisis causes to the end of the Washington Concensus?

Biggest firms thought never to go to banktrupcy, had been gone to banktrupchy as a result of deregulations. By widening the effects of the global crisis, it had been witnessed increasing effective role of government, especially in the developped countries as USA, England and other countries of Europe. The intervention of governments realized to prevent loss of ‘trust’ due to high fragility of finance sector.

On the other side, another important improvement had been realizing by increasing mergers. These mergers had been played an important role as a saver for the firms with weak financial situation. But another important role of that kind of mergers is to cause increasing power of oligarchy. Monolopolized world giants had been creating by that way.

The new tranformed world seems to be faced with wilder capitalism.

Click here to read the full paper
Andrea Micocci Value Creation as a Historical Question: The Financial Turn of Late Capitalism
The so-called transformation problem has usually been understood as an economic technicality to be faced in technical terms by solving a quasi-mathematical conundrum concerning prices and values in a theoretical economy. To-date no widely accepted solutions have been found, and yet Marxist political economy has survived well this lack. After briefly summarizing the reasons why I think a solution to the problem must be sought for in empirical historical analyses rather than theoretical economic reasoning (as explained in my 2008a, 2008b), I shall explain the relevance of my alternative approach to the contemporary issue of the preponderance of finance in present-day capitalism. The question of the transformation is the question of the valorization of capital. It takes place in the sphere of the metaphysics of capitalism (similar to Marx’s own “rational mysticism”). In it the reciprocal transformation of both the material/concrete and the abstract into value/prices (or any other capitalist item) can take place. By erasing the material and the abstract and transforming them into something in between, denying truthfulness to both the concrete and the abstract, the abstract-material transformation into metaphysics transforms capitalism as a whole into the metaphysics itself (Micocci, 2008a). This is the sphere where everything can be denominated in money terms, and everything can therefore transcend the material objects it originates from. Money denominated values in all possible forms can circulate on their own without any tie to material production: just like human labour is first transformed into a commodity, then into a money value (wage) and then back into a commodity, the centre of the whole metaphysics is money denominated value regardless of its actual form and of its relationship to needs as well as to institutions, culture and the economy. While material production is tied, in terms of the rhythm at which it gives value to capital, to material processes and the quantitative relationship between commodities and money, the metaphysical realm in which the value - price transformation (or, better said, the monetary denomination of metaphysical items) takes place allows much more room for manoeuvre to capital owners. Capital in the form of financial capital can create out of itself its own mechanisms to increase its value and the very pace of valorization itself: the only limitation consists in the need for an (any) institutional and legal framework to allow finance to operate, i.e., to continuously devise legally, but not technically new valorization processes all the time (as proved by the present crisis, legal constraints and controls only help financial capital to thrive. Simplification is the enemy of finance). While finance lacks the potential possibility to revolutionize itself technically, which productive capital in theory holds, it can do what productive capital cannot do: fix its own rates of profit, and indeed of multiplication, without any material limit. Hence the move towards financial deals which has characterized late capitalism, leading to the present crisis. This can only be explained in terms of a transformation of values into higher values (not necessarily prices, but simply monetary denominations of values) that takes place in the realm of metaphysics, and can do without a material origin and a logical (abstract) explanation. The exploitation of labour is an obsolete way to pursue valorization, much less efficient in terms of the rates of growth of profits when looked at in comparison to finance. It only serves to create what we could call a sort of “primitive accumulation of financial capital”, which once started can then walk on its own metaphysical legs.
  • Micocci, A. (2008a), The Metaphysics of Capitalism, Lexington, Lanham
  • Micocci, A. (2008b), “The Transformation Problem?”, International Journal of Applied Economics and Econometrics, no.2.
Click here to read the full paper
Hajime Sato Reinforced Subordination of the State to Capital after the Global Financial Crisis? Crisis in Neo-liberalism in Japan
The global financial crisis and the responses to it surely signify a crisis in Neo-liberalism. At least, nobody would deny the significant role of the state anymore, witnessing the massive state intervention to support and help the financial sector. However, the crisis does not seem to mean that neo-liberalism is dead. For, there are some symptoms of the strengthened subordination of the state to (financial) capital after the crisis. Examining the case of Japan, where various neo-liberal policies have been experimented in the long period of recession and deflation since the 1990s, the presentation examines the weaknesses of economic theories behind those policies deployed, and attempts to show different perspectives and alternative approaches based on the theory of capital accumulation.
Christina Sakali EMU accession issues in the context of the global economic crisis: The case of Bulgaria
Bulgaria’s path to transition, especially in the first years, has been far from smooth, characterized by serious turn backs, as well as great political and economic instability. The collapse of the economy in 1996-97 which was extended in the fiscal, monetary and banking sectors has led to the adoption of a currency board arrangement, in order to stabilize the economy and boost growth. The adoption of the currency board regime, as well as the choice of the Deutsche Mark (DM) and later the Euro as the reserve currency, have been reflecting a political decision, which was taken in the light of the country’s long-term goal of accession into the European Union (EU) and consequently into the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) (Petinakis and Flegkas, 2009). Bulgaria has been among the so-called second wave candidate countries and along with Romania, has taken part in the second wave enlargement which took place on the 1st of January 2007. As soon as the country entered the EU in January 2007, top priorities of the successive Bulgarian governments have been the maintenance of the currency board regime and taking the necessary actions that would ensure the country’s smooth path towards EMU membership.

In order to qualify for EMU membership, Bulgaria has to meet the convergence criteria, as outlined in the Maastricht treaty. The Maastricht criteria refer to nominal convergence, that is the adjustment of nominal variables to threshold levels set by the Maastricht treaty. As a consequence the convergence criteria are predominantly stability-oriented. Their purpose is to ensure macroeconomic stability, which is reflected in low inflation and low interest rates, fiscal discipline and a stable currency. The Maastricht criteria do not require ‘real’ convergence of the new member states’ economies before they join EMU, although it is generally expected that acceptable levels of real economic growth should be achieved in order that the new member states are able to survive increased competition within the EU and the euro zone.

Bulgaria’s adoption of the currency board has helped the country achieve macroeconomic stability and has facilitated the road towards European integration. It has been shown that countries with hard pegged exchange rate regimes exhibit stronger nominal convergence and they are in a better position to satisfy the Maastricht criteria than countries with floating exchange rates (Kutan and Yigit, 2005). Bulgaria’s commitment to sustaining the currency board and adopting the euro has required fiscal contraction, which the country has been hoping to guarantee its smooth and fast EMU accession. Indeed Bulgaria has been able to meet most of the Maastricht criteria, that is the criteria for a stable currency, low interest rates and fiscal discipline. The criterion for low inflation has been a more difficult one to achieve, not just for Bulgaria but also for other Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) which are currently on the road to adopting the euro. Many writers have discussed the contradictions between nominal and real convergence and the fact that the real ‘catching up’ of the CEE economies will unavoidably create inflationary pressures due to Balassa-Samuelson effects (De Grauwe and Schnabl, 2005; Szapary, 2001). Recently though, the decrease in aggregate demand due to the global recession has forced prices down and inflation in Bulgaria fell to 2.8% in average for 2009. As a result, the country was being optimistic about applying to enter the ERM II at the end of January 2010. Countries must stay within ERM II mechanism for at least two years before they adopt the common currency. Bulgaria was therefore hoping to adopt the euro by 2013.

However the global economic crisis has revealed the vulnerabilities of individual countries, both members (such as Greece) and non-members (such as Bulgaria). Bulgaria is at the moment the poorest member of the EU, with GDP per capita levels (based on PPP) at about 30% of the eurozone. Moreover it is burdened by a large current account deficit which could put at stake the currency board regime and macroeconomic stability, especially in the event of capital inflow ‘stops’ due to the global recession, which in turn could lead in a currency crisis (Rostowski, 2003). Moreover the fall of GDP in 2009 (-5%) which is expected to continue in 2010 will put pressure upon the fiscal discipline achieved in the previous periods.

The global economic crisis has also accentuated the contradictions inherent in the requirements in order for the candidate countries to qualify for EMU membership. Over-emphasis on nominal convergence criteria may halter real economic growth and delay real convergence, which is especially important for transition countries. It may also motivate countries to resort to various techniques in order to technically meet the criteria during the examination period (e.g. reducing indirect taxation to force down inflation), only to loosen up their policies once they join the EMU. The paper’s objective is to reflect on EMU accession issues in Bulgaria, with a special focus on recent developments of the global economic crisis. Both successes and challenges of the Bulgarian economy in the light of EMU accession are analyzed, in a discussion about Bulgaria’s prospects to enter the eurozone. Although Bulgaria has shown signs of nominal convergence and was therefore hopeful about adopting the euro by 2013, this goal has now become more distant because of issues the global economic crisis brought up. In particular the crisis has revealed the vulnerabilities of individual countries, as well as the possible inefficiencies of the nominal convergence criteria.

Click here to read the full paper


Papers received but not to be presented

AUTHOR(s)TITLE & ABSTRACT
Michael Roberts The Causes of the Great Recession: Mainstream and Heterodox Interpretations and the Cherry Pickers
The Great Recession of 2008-9 was the deepest and longest capitalist economic slump since the Great Depression of 1929-32. Yet, the official strategists of economic policy in all the advanced capitalist economies did not see it coming; then denied it was taking place; and afterwards were unable to explain why it happened. The vast majority of mainstream economists (both the neoclassical or Keynesian wings) failed to forecast it too.

Afterwards, a bitter dispute has broken out between these two wings on which theoretical model best explained the Great Recession. This paper argues that neither wing has an adequate explanation because both theoretical models are: obsessed with the actions or motivations of individual economic agents; refuse to provide empirical evidence from history (thus have models lacking in any predictive power); and focus only on flaws in the financial sector for the causes rather than the wider capitalist production process.

These failings also apply to a greater or lesser degree to many heterodox economic explanations, ranging from the behavioural or ‘animal spirits’ versions of the Keynesian model, the Minsky ‘financial instability’ supporters, to the Austrian ‘excessive credit’ school.

This paper argues that the Marxist model of capitalism best explains the Great Recession, rooted as it is in the inherent flaws in the capitalist production process and then its indirect impact on the financial sector. This reveals how the proximate causes are related to the ultimate.

The methodological lessons for economists from the Great Recession are: 1) turn to the aggregate and away from the individual in forming economic theory; 2) provide empirical evidence that can be tested and retested; and 3) look at the big picture, not one sector of the capitalist economy.

Click here to view the full paper


Personal tools